Statistics in Sports
Math 116
Brad Hartlaub
Spring 2013
Statistics Clinic (Sunday-Thursday, 8:00 - 10:00 pm, in Hayes Hall 311)
Daily Agendas
- January 14
- January 16
- January 18
- January 21 - Your first take-home quiz is due on Friday, January 25. Write up the Streakiness Activity.
- January 23
- January 25 - Take home Quiz #1
- January 28
- January 30
- February 1 - Project #1 & Quiz #2
- February 4 - Lab time for Project #1
- February 6
- (See p:\data\math\hartlaub\sportsstats for PPT files and articles)
- Halely and Sam - Does icing the kicker really work?
- Garrison and Nick - Adrian Peterson
- Jonanthan and John - Effect of ACL tears on NBA players
- February 8
- Hannah, Morgan, and Sarah - NHL Power Plays
- Tanner and Zach - "Clutchness" of Kobe Bryant and Lebron James
- Phil and Zach - Effect of NCAA rule change on offensive output in lacrosse games
- February 11
- Pat and Sam - Ball Don't Lie
- Carlo, Chris, and Jacob - Who is the most efficient goal scorer in the Barclays Premier League?
- Brian and Kevin, Have the Nets improved their play since the hiring of P.J. Carlesimo?
- Februrary 13
- Brett - ERA and fastball speed in MLB
- February 15
- February 18 - Problem Session
- February 20
- February 22 - Quiz #3
- February 25 - Problem Session (see HW #5 below)
- February 27 - Complete Problem Session (see HW #5 below) and Review
- March 1 - Exam #1
- March 18
- March 20 - no class - work on Probability Project Proposals - as stated in class your task is to find an article that introduces or uses chance and probability to address a sports question of interest to you. This article can be from a journal, blog, or popular media source (newspapers and magazines), but it must contain or be related to a probability distribution. Remember that your primary goal is to show your peers how probability distributions are used to solve common problems in sports.
- March 22
- March 25 - LAB for probability presentations and Regression
- March 27
- March 29
- April 1
- April 3
- April 5
- April 8
- April 10
- April 12
- April 15 - Problem Session on HW #8
- April 17
- April 19
- April 22
- April 24
- April 26 - Exam #2 (Covers Chapters 11-14, Probability Distributions from Presentations, and Statistical Models from Presentations)
- April 29 - Final projects - Moneyball
- Specifications for final project (15 - 20 page paper):
- Introduction
- Description of your research question(s) of interest
- Discussion of data collection
- Provide exploratory data analysis (graphs and descriptive statistics) to address your question(s) of interest
- Set up and test appropriate hypotheses
- Identify, fit, and assess appropriate models
- Conclusion
- Suggestions for future work
- May 1 - Lab time for Final Projects - Complete Moneyball - Optional trip to Columbus Clippers Game with Rochester, 7:15 PM
- May 3 - Lab time for Final Projects - Individual meetings
- May 6 - Final Projects are due by 11:30
Homework Assignments
- HW #1 - due on Monday, January 21
- HW #2 - due on Monday, January 28
- HW #3 - due on Monday, February 4
- HW #4 - due on Wednesday, February 20
- HW #5 - will not be collected; will be done in problem session on 2/25 and 2/27
- HW #6 - due on Friday, March 29
- HW #7 - due on Monday, April 8
- HW #8 - due on Monday, April 15
- Final project proposals are due by midnight on April 29. These proposals should contain a short description of your research question, avaiable data, and your proposed analysis.
Quiz and Exam Samples
- Quiz 1 - Solutions
- Exam 1 - See p:\data\math\hartlaub\sportsstats\quiz and exam solutions\
Data Sources
Interesting Articles
Interesting Links